نوع مقاله : مقالات

نویسندگان

1 دانشگاه مازندران

2 مازندران

چکیده

هدف از مقاله حاضر، بررسی تأثیر دو مورد از متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی بر بقای شرکت‌ها‌ی تازه‌وارد در صنایع استان مازندران در فاصلۀ سال‌ها‌ی 1364-1394 است. برای جمع‌آوری داده‌ها و اطلاعات از پایگاه دادۀ وزارت صنایع و معادن استان مازندران و بانک مرکزی جمهوری اسلامی ایران استفاده شده و با استفاده از رویکرد تجزیه‌وتحلیل تاریخی- رویدادی به بررسی تأثیر متغیرها‌ی مستقل بر بقای شرکت‌ها‌ی جدید پرداخته شده است. برای تجزیه‌وتحلیل داده‌ها از مدل برآورد کننده حد محصول (کاپلان – مایر) و رویکرد جدول عمر استفاده شده و مدل نیمه پارامتریک رگرسیون Cox برای آزمون فرضیه‌ها مورد استفاده قرار گرفته است. در نتیجۀ این تحقیق، رابطۀ معنی‌داری میان نرخ تورم و نرخ ارز با بقای شرکت تأیید شد. همچنین مقایسه‌ای بین توابع بقای شرکت‌های موجود در صنایع مختلف استان انجام پذیرفت.

کلیدواژه‌ها

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